Marketer Lynn Kettelson sent me an insightful article arguing that Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos has the Kindle DX business model back asswards. The article claims Bezos wants a whopping 70% of newspaper subscription revenue generated by the Kindle DX. With that, he could the miss the huge opportunity that the Kindle DX has put within his grasp.
The author, Dave Morgan, who sits on the board of newspaper concern A.H. Belo, says Bezos has a wonderful opportunity to define the market for portable readers and like many others think he’s on the road to success with technology piece of the equation. He could be on the verge of an iPhone-like franchise and in that vein, he should be investing in promoting the DX to several constituencies, not trying to grab the lion’s share of the revenue, Morgan writes.
I generally agree with Morgan’s assessment and have a call into Amazon to determine if the 70 per cent formula is the foundation of the business strategy. The New York Times, Washington Post and Boston Globe with is teetering on the brink have agreed to do DX trials.
Morgan’s criticism of the purported terms seems justified if for no other reason that most newspapers are flirting with extinction. What’s more, many if not most under forty somethings readers are unlikely to shell out the $489 for the DX given their disinterest in newspapers and in many cases, news.
Bezos’ message seems to be that it’s up to newspapers to figure out a more effective and efficient way to put the news and ads before reader eyeballs. The DX is simply another option beyond web sites. If newspapers can claim readers, but doesn’t have to print and deliver a newspaper to them, there is immense cost savings. Bezos clearly wants a piece of that savings. After all, this is a guy with legendary mechanical aptitude, according to his Wikipedia profile which says as a toddler, he tried to dismantle his crib with a screwdriver. Now he wants to dismantle the presses albeit with a much more sophisticated tool.
But if he truly wants to save newspapers, he should buy or maybe start one that only distributes content on the Kindle DX. He wouldn’t even need the bother of a web site. He’s worth $8.2 billion and his ranking on Forbes World Billionaire List is number 110. What’s a bil or two for newspaper that could sorely use the investment (my favorite newspaper, the Boston Globe is for sale, I’m sure…). Of course, he’s hardly encouraged when billionaire Warren Buffet says he wouldn’t buy a newspaper at any price.
Morgan talks much more depth about what will persuade consumers to embrace the DX such as attracting developers to write applications for it, making nice nice with newspapers which can promote the DX and perhaps most important of all, devising an Internet ad model and taking on Google in the process. Forget subscription revenues which have never covered any more than a fraction of the cost of putting out a newspaper.
“Make the enemy of your enemy your friend,” Morgan writes. By that, he means now is an opportune time to on Google which is mistrusted by publishers and being scrutinized by regulators.
I’d like to offer one more word of advice: buy, er, rescue a newspaper and deliver content exclusively by the DX (of course, you would have a web site…I was just kidding about that). Don’t leave it just to newspapers to prove the DX’s worth. You do it, too.
2 comments On Kindle DX Business Model for Newspapers Misses Mark
The Kindle DX has *nothing* to do with solving the fundamental problems newspapers face from the web. It’s nice to talk about how this is a step in the right direction but I don’t think so.
http://doctordisruptive.wordpress.com/2009/05/07/saving-newspapers-amazon-introduces-a-new-kindle/
Jonathan,
I agree. The decline in newspapers stems from rising dis-interest in news and compelling alternatives for advertisers.